agagyu 80
0x2136af6ba9332e2947d5c477aa8ab807f64cee56 · polymarket.com ↗ · trading since 2025-06
Realized PnL
$32,567
Months in profit
13 / 16
Win rate (events)
91%
ROI per market
3.2%
Avg stake
$5,737
Median hold
85.2 d
Volume
$1,529,242
5m crypto share
1%
Win rate, ROI and focus are computed on the 179 most recent closed non-crypto markets (since 2025-06-28); realized PnL and months are all-time.
Monthly realized PnL
Focus
other 81 geopolitics 74 politics 8 crypto 8 tech 3 macro 2
Trades captured by our feed
| When | Wallet | Side | Market | Outcome | Price | Size | Cat |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No trades captured yet. The feed fills up as tracked wallets trade. | |||||||
Open positions (24)
| Market | Side | Shares | Avg | Now | Value | PnL | Cat |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | No | 16477 | 0.82 | 0.84 | $13,923 | $359 | other |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | No | 13006 | 0.88 | 0.89 | $11,523 | $64 | geopolitics |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 9903 | 0.97 | 0.98 | $9,680 | $101 | other |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 11157 | 0.85 | 0.85 | $9,539 | $105 | geopolitics |
| Will Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2026? | No | 5861 | 0.89 | 0.90 | $5,246 | $38 | other |
| Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? | No | 4928 | 0.80 | 0.86 | $4,263 | $312 | other |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 4306 | 0.93 | 0.92 | $3,940 | −$64 | politics |
| US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026? | No | 4231 | 0.84 | 0.92 | $3,871 | $310 | other |
| Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? | No | 3176 | 0.86 | 0.85 | $2,699 | −$26 | other |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | No | 3400 | 0.79 | 0.76 | $2,567 | −$106 | crypto |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 3513 | 0.67 | 0.73 | $2,565 | $211 | politics |
| Halle Berry as Storm? | No | 1875 | 0.80 | 0.83 | $1,556 | $53 | other |
| Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026? | No | 1615 | 0.88 | 0.90 | $1,454 | $30 | other |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes | 2941 | 0.70 | 0.47 | $1,397 | −$662 | geopolitics |
| Evangeline Lilly as the Wasp? | No | 1353 | 0.81 | 0.91 | $1,231 | $130 | other |
| Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027? | No | 1923 | 0.83 | 0.62 | $1,192 | −$395 | other |
| Kylie Jenner and Timothée Chalamet engaged in 2026? | No | 1676 | 0.87 | 0.67 | $1,123 | −$341 | other |
| Will Turkey rejoin the F-35 program by December 31, 2026? | No | 1190 | 0.89 | 0.76 | $905 | −$153 | other |
| Will Egypt join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026? | No | 904 | 0.88 | 0.82 | $745 | −$53 | other |
| Will Beyond Meat announce bankruptcy before 2027? | No | 316 | 0.90 | 0.91 | $286 | $2 | other |
| Will Turkey rejoin the F-35 program by June 30, 2027? | No | 364 | 0.76 | 0.63 | $228 | −$47 | other |
| Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? | No | 177 | 0.79 | 0.75 | $133 | −$7 | crypto |
| Will Tom Homan leave the Trump administration before 2027? | No | 66 | 0.90 | 0.78 | $51 | −$8 | other |
| Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | No | 23 | 0.88 | 0.86 | $19 | −$0 | other |
Recent activity
| When | Side | Market | Outcome | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3d ago | BUY | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 0.97 | $571 |
| 3d ago | SELL | Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? | No | 0.95 | $384 |
| 3d ago | SELL | Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? | No | 0.95 | $186 |
| 4d ago | BUY | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 0.97 | $459 |
| 4d ago | SELL | Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? | No | 0.95 | $10 |
| 4d ago | SELL | Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? | No | 0.95 | $19 |
| 4d ago | SELL | Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? | No | 0.95 | $28 |
| 4d ago | SELL | Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | No | 0.93 | $400 |
| 6d ago | BUY | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 0.97 | $156 |
| 6d ago | BUY | Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027? | No | 0.85 | $29 |
| 6d ago | BUY | Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027? | No | 0.84 | $36 |
| 6d ago | SELL | Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? | No | 0.94 | $166 |
| 6d ago | BUY | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 0.97 | $1,264 |
| 6d ago | SELL | Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? | No | 0.95 | $560 |
| 6d ago | SELL | Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? | No | 0.95 | $435 |
| 6d ago | SELL | Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? | No | 0.94 | $182 |
| 6d ago | SELL | Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? | No | 0.94 | $143 |
| 7d ago | BUY | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 0.83 | $1,013 |
| 7d ago | SELL | Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026? | No | 0.90 | $1,015 |
| 7d ago | BUY | Halle Berry as Storm? | No | 0.85 | $17 |
| 7d ago | SELL | Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? | No | 0.94 | $21 |
| 7d ago | BUY | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 0.97 | $234 |
| 7d ago | BUY | Halle Berry as Storm? | No | 0.84 | $123 |
| 7d ago | SELL | Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? | No | 0.93 | $359 |
| 8d ago | BUY | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 0.97 | $112 |
| 8d ago | BUY | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 0.97 | $25 |
| 8d ago | BUY | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 0.97 | $1,174 |
| 8d ago | SELL | Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? | No | 0.94 | $66 |
| 8d ago | SELL | Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? | No | 0.94 | $1 |
| 9d ago | BUY | Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027? | No | 0.84 | $11 |
| 9d ago | SELL | Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? | No | 0.94 | $94 |
| 9d ago | SELL | Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? | No | 0.94 | $40 |
| 9d ago | BUY | Halle Berry as Storm? | No | 0.85 | $139 |
| 9d ago | SELL | Will Workhorse announce bankruptcy before 2027? | No | 0.85 | $306 |
| 9d ago | BUY | Will Workhorse announce bankruptcy before 2027? | No | 0.83 | $299 |
| 10d ago | BUY | Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027? | No | 0.85 | $27 |
| 10d ago | BUY | Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027? | No | 0.85 | $26 |
| 10d ago | BUY | Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027? | No | 0.85 | $36 |
| 10d ago | SELL | Will Workhorse announce bankruptcy before 2027? | No | 0.87 | $177 |
| 10d ago | BUY | Halle Berry as Storm? | No | 0.85 | $92 |