65765757 78
0x2974bd0059e48f215c391882976e0f1b4c8c9c23 · polymarket.com ↗ · trading since 2026-02
Realized PnL
$255,369
Months in profit
6 / 9
Win rate (events)
84%
ROI per market
9.2%
Avg stake
$14,538
Median hold
11.0 d
Volume
$7,649,100
5m crypto share
0%
Win rate, ROI and focus are computed on the 348 most recent closed non-crypto markets (since 2026-02-28); realized PnL and months are all-time.
Monthly realized PnL
Focus
geopolitics 130 esports 65 crypto 63 sports 41 other 39 politics 9
Trades captured by our feed
| When | Wallet | Side | Market | Outcome | Price | Size | Cat |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No trades captured yet. The feed fills up as tracked wallets trade. | |||||||
Open positions (45)
| Market | Side | Shares | Avg | Now | Value | PnL | Cat |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 249156 | 0.53 | 0.77 | $191,975 | $59,555 | esports |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 227008 | 0.70 | 0.78 | $175,931 | $16,938 | esports |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | No | 82532 | 0.80 | 0.84 | $69,327 | $2,962 | other |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 57305 | 0.85 | 0.86 | $49,569 | $967 | geopolitics |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá? | Yes | 13369 | 0.67 | 0.74 | $9,893 | $889 | esports |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21? | Yes | 8744 | 0.92 | 0.98 | $8,551 | $473 | geopolitics |
| Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026? | No | 4574 | 0.79 | 0.75 | $3,431 | −$198 | geopolitics |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October? | No | 2247 | 0.89 | 0.85 | $1,910 | −$90 | crypto |
| Will Omar Aziz win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election? | Yes | 82 | 0.90 | 0.90 | $74 | −$0 | esports |
| Israeli airspace closed between Oct. 15 and Oct. 31? | No | 40 | 0.85 | 0.91 | $36 | $2 | geopolitics |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July? | No | 52408 | 0.70 | 0.00 | $0 | −$36,869 | crypto |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31? | Yes | 35751 | 0.84 | 0.00 | $0 | −$30,194 | geopolitics |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30? | Yes | 25589 | 0.76 | 0.00 | $0 | −$19,485 | geopolitics |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27? | Yes | 23536 | 0.80 | 0.00 | $0 | −$18,815 | geopolitics |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027? | No | 23422 | 0.56 | 0.00 | $0 | −$13,129 | geopolitics |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%? | Yes | 20235 | 0.59 | 0.00 | $0 | −$11,857 | esports |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | No | 13331 | 0.70 | 0.00 | $0 | −$9,295 | geopolitics |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7? | Yes | 11305 | 0.80 | 0.00 | $0 | −$9,038 | geopolitics |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | No | 11242 | 0.74 | 0.00 | $0 | −$8,270 | geopolitics |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April? | No | 8796 | 0.83 | 0.00 | $0 | −$7,338 | crypto |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15? | Yes | 8406 | 0.73 | 0.00 | $0 | −$6,139 | geopolitics |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September? | No | 7999 | 0.92 | 0.00 | $0 | −$7,368 | crypto |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July? | No | 6870 | 0.76 | 0.00 | $0 | −$5,255 | crypto |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 15? | No | 5705 | 0.85 | 0.00 | $0 | −$4,838 | geopolitics |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through July 31? | Yes | 4130 | 0.60 | 0.00 | $0 | −$2,493 | geopolitics |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | No | 3515 | 0.90 | 0.00 | $0 | −$3,151 | crypto |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through December 31? | Yes | 3373 | 0.33 | 0.00 | $0 | −$1,128 | geopolitics |
| Iran closes its airspace by July 15? | No | 1872 | 0.73 | 0.00 | $0 | −$1,373 | geopolitics |
| Flávio Bolsonaro participates in debate before first round? | Yes | 1872 | 0.87 | 0.00 | $0 | −$1,620 | other |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of March? | No | 1352 | 0.71 | 0.00 | $0 | −$967 | crypto |
| Will Renan Santos win between 4% and 6% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 1272 | 0.27 | 0.00 | $0 | −$340 | esports |
| France vs. England: England O/U 2.5 | Under | 1176 | 0.85 | 0.00 | $0 | −$1,000 | sports |
| Mexico vs. England: England O/U 2.5 | Under | 1136 | 0.88 | 0.00 | $0 | −$1,000 | sports |
| Will Iran close its airspace by July 15? | No | 1042 | 0.70 | 0.00 | $0 | −$731 | geopolitics |
| Will Iran close its airspace by June 30? | No | 647 | 0.85 | 0.00 | $0 | −$549 | geopolitics |
| Will Iran close its airspace by August 31? | No | 618 | 0.65 | 0.00 | $0 | −$401 | geopolitics |
| Will Carlos Jordy win the most votes in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro Senate election? | Yes | 332 | 0.30 | 0.00 | $0 | −$100 | esports |
| Will Mara Rocha win the most votes in the 2026 Acre Senate election? | Yes | 322 | 0.31 | 0.00 | $0 | −$100 | esports |
| Will Marcel Van Hattem win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election? | Yes | 281 | 0.75 | 0.00 | $0 | −$210 | esports |
| Will Iran close its airspace by July 31? | No | 202 | 0.65 | 0.00 | $0 | −$132 | geopolitics |
Recent activity
| When | Side | Market | Outcome | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3h ago | SELL | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October? | No | 0.96 | $110 |
| 3h ago | SELL | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October? | No | 0.96 | $165 |
| 3h ago | SELL | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October? | No | 0.96 | $165 |
| 3h ago | SELL | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October? | No | 0.96 | $165 |
| 3h ago | SELL | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October? | No | 0.96 | $165 |
| 3h ago | SELL | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October? | No | 0.96 | $177 |
| 3h ago | SELL | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October? | No | 0.96 | $177 |
| 3h ago | SELL | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October? | No | 0.96 | $177 |
| 3h ago | SELL | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October? | No | 0.96 | $177 |
| 3h ago | SELL | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October? | No | 0.96 | $177 |
| 3h ago | SELL | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October? | No | 0.96 | $177 |
| 3h ago | SELL | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October? | No | 0.96 | $19 |
| 3h ago | SELL | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October? | No | 0.96 | $106 |
| 17h ago | BUY | Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá? | Yes | 0.69 | $3,936 |
| 17h ago | SELL | US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 0.95 | $3,985 |
| 17h ago | SELL | Will Leandro Grass win the 2026 Federal District gubernatorial second round? | No | 1.00 | $7 |
| 17h ago | BUY | Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá? | Yes | 0.66 | $894 |
| 17h ago | BUY | Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá? | Yes | 0.63 | $3,282 |
| 17h ago | SELL | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October? | No | 0.96 | $958 |
| 17h ago | SELL | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | No | 0.82 | $1,640 |
| 17h ago | SELL | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | No | 0.82 | $1,641 |
| 19h ago | BUY | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21? | Yes | 0.94 | $488 |
| 19h ago | SELL | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | No | 0.83 | $488 |
| 19h ago | BUY | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21? | Yes | 0.94 | $12 |
| 3d ago | BUY | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21? | Yes | 0.96 | $513 |
| 3d ago | SELL | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | No | 0.83 | $513 |
| 4d ago | BUY | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21? | Yes | 0.93 | $577 |
| 4d ago | BUY | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21? | Yes | 0.92 | $6,488 |
| 4d ago | SELL | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? | No | 0.95 | $621 |
| 7d ago | BUY | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 0.86 | $1,959 |
| 7d ago | BUY | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 0.84 | $4,101 |
| 7d ago | BUY | US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 0.87 | $8 |
| 7d ago | BUY | US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 18? | Yes | 0.95 | $6 |
| 7d ago | SELL | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%? | Yes | 0.08 | $27 |
| 7d ago | BUY | US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 0.87 | $3,641 |
| 7d ago | SELL | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | No | 0.82 | $9,701 |
| 7d ago | BUY | US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 18? | Yes | 0.95 | $5 |
| 10d ago | BUY | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 0.89 | $268 |
| 10d ago | SELL | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | No | 0.90 | $270 |
| 10d ago | BUY | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 0.89 | $725 |