RememberAmalek 77
0x6139c42e48cf190e67a0a85d492413b499336b7a · polymarket.com ↗ · trading since 2024-07
Realized PnL
$837,421
Months in profit
18 / 25
Win rate (events)
74%
ROI per market
3.8%
Avg stake
$15,868
Median hold
48.2 d
Volume
$17,449,474
5m crypto share
2%
Win rate, ROI and focus are computed on the 980 most recent closed non-crypto markets (since 2025-03-16); realized PnL and months are all-time.
Monthly realized PnL
Focus
geopolitics 343 other 326 esports 163 politics 65 macro 34 crypto 27
Trades captured by our feed
| When | Wallet | Side | Market | Outcome | Price | Size | Cat |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24h ago | RememberAmalek | BUY | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting? | Yes | 0.01 | $28 | macro |
Open positions (100)
| Market | Side | Shares | Avg | Now | Value | PnL | Cat |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 151939 | 0.30 | 0.86 | $131,428 | $86,072 | other |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 72277 | 0.36 | 0.64 | $45,896 | $20,086 | politics |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | Yes | 222676 | 0.18 | 0.16 | $35,628 | −$5,414 | other |
| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 70884 | 0.25 | 0.40 | $27,999 | $10,135 | esports |
| Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? | No | 28569 | 0.79 | 0.95 | $27,283 | $4,728 | geopolitics |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 26001 | 0.51 | 0.78 | $20,151 | $7,002 | esports |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 21651 | 0.45 | 0.65 | $13,965 | $4,225 | esports |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 17848 | 0.34 | 0.77 | $13,752 | $7,604 | esports |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 20576 | 0.46 | 0.64 | $13,066 | $3,599 | esports |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? | Yes | 45608 | 0.21 | 0.17 | $7,981 | −$1,487 | other |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 53965 | 0.06 | 0.13 | $7,042 | $3,721 | esports |
| Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 817184 | 0.01 | 0.01 | $6,946 | −$161 | esports |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 195829 | 0.06 | 0.03 | $5,973 | −$5,340 | politics |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | Yes | 38476 | 0.12 | 0.11 | $4,386 | −$215 | geopolitics |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? | Yes | 174065 | 0.08 | 0.03 | $4,352 | −$9,489 | other |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | Yes | 60005 | 0.11 | 0.07 | $4,200 | −$2,185 | other |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 15073 | 0.25 | 0.14 | $2,035 | −$1,703 | macro |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | Yes | 16814 | 0.11 | 0.12 | $1,934 | $142 | other |
| US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31? | No | 27595 | 0.10 | 0.07 | $1,794 | −$860 | geopolitics |
| Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026? | Yes | 22794 | 0.10 | 0.07 | $1,596 | −$632 | other |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31? | Yes | 49276 | 0.06 | 0.03 | $1,552 | −$1,639 | other |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | Yes | 29249 | 0.14 | 0.04 | $1,038 | −$2,958 | geopolitics |
| Iran Nuke before 2027? | Yes | 23103 | 0.08 | 0.03 | $716 | −$1,146 | geopolitics |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | Yes | 54471 | 0.08 | 0.01 | $626 | −$3,861 | other |
| Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 24142 | 0.02 | 0.01 | $350 | −$45 | politics |
| Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 26575 | 0.10 | 0.01 | $345 | −$2,338 | other |
| Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 21893 | 0.02 | 0.02 | $339 | −$111 | politics |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 31808 | 0.05 | 0.00 | $111 | −$1,324 | macro |
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 289828 | 0.01 | 0.00 | $0 | −$4,259 | other |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | Yes | 274423 | 0.11 | 0.00 | $0 | −$29,406 | geopolitics |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | Yes | 239344 | 0.07 | 0.00 | $0 | −$16,463 | geopolitics |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | Yes | 136884 | 0.06 | 0.00 | $0 | −$8,734 | other |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | Yes | 106047 | 0.11 | 0.00 | $0 | −$11,617 | other |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 89867 | 0.17 | 0.00 | $0 | −$15,522 | geopolitics |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April? | No | 82964 | 0.29 | 0.00 | $0 | −$23,825 | crypto |
| Will Trump visit China by May 31? | No | 79094 | 0.05 | 0.00 | $0 | −$4,015 | geopolitics |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | No | 77500 | 0.21 | 0.00 | $0 | −$16,249 | esports |
| Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair? | Yes | 75000 | 0.00 | 0.00 | $0 | $0 | macro |
| Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair? | Yes | 75000 | 0.00 | 0.00 | $0 | $0 | macro |
| Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair? | Yes | 75000 | 0.00 | 0.00 | $0 | $0 | macro |
Recent activity
| When | Side | Market | Outcome | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 32m ago | SELL | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | No | 0.13 | $99 |
| 39m ago | SELL | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? | Yes | 0.03 | $126 |
| 63m ago | SELL | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | No | 0.13 | $1 |
| 64m ago | SELL | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | No | 0.13 | $28 |
| 2h ago | SELL | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | No | 0.13 | $2 |
| 2h ago | SELL | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | Yes | 0.09 | $5 |
| 2h ago | BUY | Will the Republican Party hold between 200 and 204 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | No | 0.85 | $7 |
| 2h ago | SELL | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | Yes | 0.09 | $8 |
| 3h ago | BUY | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | No | 0.12 | $60 |
| 3h ago | SELL | US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31? | No | 0.06 | $300 |
| 3h ago | BUY | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | No | 0.12 | $0 |
| 3h ago | BUY | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | No | 0.12 | $60 |
| 3h ago | BUY | Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | No | 0.41 | $2 |
| 3h ago | BUY | Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | No | 0.41 | $2 |
| 3h ago | SELL | US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes | 0.27 | $135 |
| 4h ago | BUY | Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | No | 0.41 | $12 |
| 4h ago | SELL | Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | No | 0.74 | $4 |
| 4h ago | BUY | IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31? | No | 0.83 | $208 |
| 5h ago | SELL | Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | No | 0.74 | $8 |
| 6h ago | BUY | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting? | Yes | 0.01 | $7 |
| 6h ago | BUY | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting? | Yes | 0.01 | $9 |
| 6h ago | BUY | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting? | Yes | 0.01 | $5 |
| 6h ago | BUY | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting? | Yes | 0.01 | $9 |
| 6h ago | BUY | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting? | Yes | 0.01 | $12 |
| 6h ago | BUY | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting? | Yes | 0.01 | $7 |
| 6h ago | BUY | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting? | Yes | 0.01 | $0 |
| 6h ago | BUY | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting? | Yes | 0.01 | $7 |
| 8h ago | BUY | Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in December? | Yes | 0.07 | $7 |
| 8h ago | BUY | Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in November? | Yes | 0.02 | $3 |
| 9h ago | BUY | Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 0.24 | $109 |
| 9h ago | BUY | Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 0.24 | $12 |
| 9h ago | BUY | Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 0.24 | $156 |
| 9h ago | BUY | Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 0.24 | $221 |
| 9h ago | BUY | Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 0.24 | $24 |
| 9h ago | BUY | Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 0.24 | $78 |
| 9h ago | BUY | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 0.27 | $168 |
| 9h ago | BUY | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 0.27 | $1 |
| 10h ago | BUY | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 0.27 | $45 |
| 10h ago | BUY | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 0.27 | $2 |
| 10h ago | BUY | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 0.27 | $42 |