mr.ozi 78
0x614dc8d3542c12103d2c6a3553fd761e391d1546 · polymarket.com ↗ · trading since 2024-07
Realized PnL
$765,007
Months in profit
23 / 28
Win rate (events)
65%
ROI per market
3.0%
Avg stake
$20,853
Median hold
27.5 d
Volume
$25,013,211
5m crypto share
0%
Win rate, ROI and focus are computed on the 1000 most recent closed non-crypto markets (since 2025-03-31); realized PnL and months are all-time.
Monthly realized PnL
Focus
geopolitics 362 other 265 esports 153 politics 62 macro 51 crypto 51
Trades captured by our feed
| When | Wallet | Side | Market | Outcome | Price | Size | Cat |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23h ago | mr.ozi | BUY | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22? | Yes | 0.92 | $931 | geopolitics |
Open positions (27)
| Market | Side | Shares | Avg | Now | Value | PnL | Cat |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 163583 | 0.66 | 0.71 | $116,962 | $9,207 | politics |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 50255 | 0.84 | 0.86 | $43,471 | $1,111 | geopolitics |
| Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Yes | 53923 | 0.64 | 0.72 | $39,094 | $4,570 | esports |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | No | 44000 | 0.83 | 0.84 | $36,960 | $400 | other |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 55000 | 0.63 | 0.64 | $34,925 | $176 | politics |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 30000 | 0.86 | 0.92 | $27,450 | $1,650 | esports |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate? | Yes | 70726 | 0.35 | 0.36 | $25,815 | $1,282 | politics |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 30000 | 0.79 | 0.78 | $23,400 | −$336 | politics |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 30000 | 0.67 | 0.77 | $23,115 | $3,159 | esports |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 25100 | 0.91 | 0.92 | $22,967 | $75 | esports |
| Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | No | 27217 | 0.61 | 0.71 | $19,460 | $2,821 | esports |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 29699 | 0.63 | 0.64 | $18,859 | $99 | politics |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 24375 | 0.54 | 0.74 | $17,928 | $4,800 | other |
| Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Yes | 22672 | 0.22 | 0.40 | $8,955 | $4,010 | esports |
| Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | Yes | 11994 | 0.72 | 0.65 | $7,736 | −$943 | esports |
| Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Yes | 22672 | 0.22 | 0.33 | $7,414 | $2,468 | esports |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 7758 | 0.60 | 0.72 | $5,613 | $977 | other |
| Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 6000 | 0.87 | 0.86 | $5,190 | −$30 | politics |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 8000 | 0.60 | 0.64 | $5,080 | $280 | politics |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 5597 | 0.71 | 0.79 | $4,413 | $456 | other |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | No | 5000 | 0.70 | 0.78 | $3,900 | $400 | esports |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21? | Yes | 2486 | 0.93 | 0.98 | $2,430 | $124 | geopolitics |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 2497 | 0.71 | 0.86 | $2,160 | $387 | macro |
| Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 1868 | 0.91 | 0.88 | $1,635 | −$65 | politics |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22? | Yes | 1070 | 0.91 | 0.95 | $1,017 | $40 | geopolitics |
| Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 250 | 0.95 | 0.97 | $242 | $4 | other |
| Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? | Yes | 12 | 0.57 | 0.61 | $7 | $0 | politics |
Recent activity
| When | Side | Market | Outcome | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7m ago | BUY | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 0.86 | $1 |
| 7m ago | BUY | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 0.86 | $188 |
| 3h ago | BUY | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 0.86 | $123 |
| 3h ago | BUY | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 0.74 | $1,113 |
| 3h ago | BUY | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 0.86 | $61 |
| 4h ago | BUY | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 0.86 | $5 |
| 4h ago | BUY | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 0.86 | $31 |
| 4h ago | BUY | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 0.86 | $61 |
| 5h ago | BUY | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 0.86 | $307 |
| 5h ago | BUY | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 0.86 | $43 |
| 5h ago | BUY | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 0.86 | $48 |
| 5h ago | BUY | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 0.86 | $31 |
| 6h ago | BUY | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 0.86 | $86 |
| 6h ago | BUY | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 0.86 | $0 |
| 6h ago | BUY | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 0.86 | $0 |
| 6h ago | BUY | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 0.86 | $86 |
| 6h ago | BUY | Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | Yes | 0.72 | $3,600 |
| 6h ago | BUY | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 0.86 | $48 |
| 6h ago | BUY | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 0.86 | $0 |
| 7h ago | BUY | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 0.86 | $0 |
| 7h ago | BUY | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 0.86 | $1 |
| 7h ago | BUY | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 0.86 | $6 |
| 7h ago | BUY | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 0.86 | $1 |
| 7h ago | BUY | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 0.86 | $0 |
| 7h ago | BUY | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 0.86 | $92 |
| 7h ago | BUY | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 0.86 | $45 |
| 8h ago | BUY | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 0.86 | $6 |
| 8h ago | BUY | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 0.86 | $0 |
| 8h ago | BUY | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 0.86 | $22 |
| 8h ago | BUY | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 0.86 | $92 |
| 9h ago | BUY | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 0.86 | $0 |
| 9h ago | BUY | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 0.86 | $6 |
| 9h ago | BUY | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 0.86 | $1 |
| 9h ago | BUY | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 0.86 | $1 |
| 9h ago | BUY | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 0.86 | $0 |
| 9h ago | BUY | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 0.86 | $0 |
| 9h ago | BUY | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 0.86 | $0 |
| 9h ago | BUY | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 0.86 | $4,449 |
| 11h ago | SELL | Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? | No | 0.96 | $730 |
| 13h ago | SELL | Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? | No | 0.96 | $263 |