Dropper 82
0x6bab41a0dc40d6dd4c1a915b8c01969479fd1292 · polymarket.com ↗ · trading since 2024-07
Realized PnL
$1,465,846
Months in profit
26 / 28
Win rate (events)
61%
ROI per market
3.1%
Avg stake
$38,297
Median hold
46.3 d
Volume
$32,650,320
5m crypto share
0%
Win rate, ROI and focus are computed on the 1000 most recent closed non-crypto markets (since 2025-07-09); realized PnL and months are all-time.
Monthly realized PnL
Focus
other 461 geopolitics 230 crypto 144 macro 43 sports 37 tech 29
Trades captured by our feed
| When | Wallet | Side | Market | Outcome | Price | Size | Cat |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No trades captured yet. The feed fills up as tracked wallets trade. | |||||||
Open positions (14)
| Market | Side | Shares | Avg | Now | Value | PnL | Cat |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 99391 | 0.78 | 0.85 | $84,979 | $7,591 | geopolitics |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | 44444 | 0.91 | 0.98 | $43,777 | $3,189 | other |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 47649 | 0.70 | 0.81 | $38,619 | $5,142 | other |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 47393 | 0.69 | 0.71 | $33,886 | $1,222 | politics |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22? | Yes | 14530 | 0.80 | 0.94 | $13,665 | $2,040 | geopolitics |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? | No | 10000 | 0.87 | 0.97 | $9,685 | $985 | other |
| Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? | No | 10000 | 0.90 | 0.95 | $9,490 | $490 | other |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 22089 | 0.41 | 0.23 | $4,970 | −$4,097 | esports |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 4615 | 0.94 | 0.95 | $4,366 | $28 | other |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 4113 | 0.94 | 0.98 | $4,020 | $154 | other |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | No | 2371 | 0.83 | 0.95 | $2,254 | $286 | other |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 1000 | 0.70 | 0.72 | $724 | $24 | other |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | Yes | 222 | 0.28 | 0.04 | $8 | −$54 | geopolitics |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | Yes | 188 | 0.10 | 0.02 | $4 | −$14 | other |
Recent activity
| When | Side | Market | Outcome | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45m ago | BUY | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 0.94 | $4,338 |
| 2h ago | BUY | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 0.78 | $4,326 |
| 2h ago | BUY | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 0.78 | $1,966 |
| 3h ago | BUY | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 0.70 | $700 |
| 21h ago | BUY | Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? | No | 0.90 | $7,134 |
| 22h ago | BUY | Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? | No | 0.90 | $52 |
| 22h ago | BUY | Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? | No | 0.90 | $1,047 |
| 22h ago | BUY | Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? | No | 0.90 | $584 |
| 22h ago | BUY | Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? | No | 0.90 | $11 |
| 22h ago | BUY | Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? | No | 0.90 | $14 |
| 22h ago | BUY | Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? | No | 0.90 | $159 |
| 22h ago | BUY | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 0.74 | $4,583 |
| 22h ago | BUY | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22? | Yes | 0.91 | $5,050 |
| 22h ago | BUY | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22? | Yes | 0.89 | $4,804 |
| 22h ago | BUY | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22? | No | 0.10 | $1 |
| 22h ago | BUY | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22? | No | 0.10 | $5 |
| 23h ago | BUY | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 0.74 | $288 |
| 23h ago | BUY | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 0.75 | $2,330 |
| 23h ago | BUY | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 0.75 | $2,988 |
| 23h ago | BUY | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 0.75 | $2,321 |
| 24h ago | BUY | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 0.75 | $694 |
| 24h ago | BUY | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22? | No | 0.21 | $1,160 |
| 24h ago | BUY | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22? | No | 0.21 | $6 |
| 24h ago | BUY | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22? | Yes | 0.68 | $2 |
| 24h ago | BUY | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22? | Yes | 0.68 | $6,259 |
| 40h ago | BUY | Will FalleN Win an S-Tier Event in 2026? | Yes | 0.99 | $77,786 |
| 2d ago | BUY | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 0.71 | $1,401 |
| 3d ago | BUY | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 0.71 | $0 |
| 3d ago | BUY | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 0.71 | $0 |
| 3d ago | BUY | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 0.71 | $0 |
| 3d ago | BUY | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 0.71 | $2 |
| 3d ago | BUY | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 0.71 | $757 |
| 3d ago | BUY | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 0.71 | $122 |
| 3d ago | BUY | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 0.71 | $227 |
| 3d ago | BUY | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 0.71 | $95 |
| 3d ago | BUY | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 0.71 | $1,236 |
| 3d ago | BUY | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 0.71 | $2,274 |
| 3d ago | BUY | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 0.71 | $0 |
| 3d ago | BUY | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 0.71 | $2 |
| 3d ago | BUY | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 0.71 | $245 |