Stonktrader 83
0x73e35ce0b7e36ef3ce29ebd12b30b28007383239 · polymarket.com ↗ · trading since 2026-05
Realized PnL
$93,757
Months in profit
6 / 6
Win rate (events)
95%
ROI per market
25.8%
Avg stake
$12,515
Median hold
1.9 d
Volume
$1,915,600
5m crypto share
0%
Win rate, ROI and focus are computed on the 462 most recent closed non-crypto markets (since 2026-05-04); realized PnL and months are all-time.
Monthly realized PnL
Focus
crypto 144 other 134 tech 74 sports 46 geopolitics 30 macro 16
Trades captured by our feed
| When | Wallet | Side | Market | Outcome | Price | Size | Cat |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No trades captured yet. The feed fills up as tracked wallets trade. | |||||||
Open positions (100)
| Market | Side | Shares | Avg | Now | Value | PnL | Cat |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | Yes | 100000 | 0.29 | 0.28 | $28,500 | −$500 | politics |
| Will Republicans win white voters in the midterms? | Yes | 8646 | 0.82 | 0.89 | $7,695 | $600 | politics |
| Osborn flips Ricketts for Nebraska Senate by November 2? | No | 4690 | 0.86 | 0.93 | $4,383 | $351 | politics |
| Will Timothée Chalamet be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 4916 | 0.78 | 0.85 | $4,179 | $330 | geopolitics |
| JD Vance 2028 presidential odds leader on November 30? | Yes | 2941 | 0.80 | 0.89 | $2,617 | $252 | politics |
| Will the lowest St. Louis river level be 3.00 ft or more by November 30? | No | 2657 | 0.69 | 0.93 | $2,457 | $624 | other |
| Will Hamburger SV be relegated from the 2026-27 Bundesliga? | No | 2682 | 0.80 | 0.81 | $2,186 | $32 | other |
| Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18? | No | 2205 | 0.66 | 0.98 | $2,155 | $702 | weather |
| Will SC Paderborn be relegated from the 2026-27 Bundesliga? | No | 3481 | 0.52 | 0.58 | $2,019 | $207 | other |
| Will Texas State have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? | No | 3156 | 0.67 | 0.59 | $1,878 | −$249 | other |
| Will Miguel Tapias win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year? | No | 1578 | 0.90 | 0.99 | $1,568 | $141 | other |
| Will Confluent (CFLT) beat quarterly earnings? | No | 1573 | 0.91 | 0.98 | $1,538 | $103 | macro |
| Will Bo Nix have 30.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | No | 1400 | 0.80 | 0.98 | $1,371 | $255 | other |
| Will Bo Nix have 24.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | No | 2010 | 0.47 | 0.68 | $1,367 | $423 | other |
| Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Sound at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 1432 | 0.74 | 0.91 | $1,296 | $237 | geopolitics |
| Will Brice Turang lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in hits? | No | 1270 | 0.90 | 0.98 | $1,248 | $103 | other |
| Republican Senate odds dip to 30% by October 31? | No | 1472 | 0.65 | 0.82 | $1,214 | $252 | politics |
| Collins flips Jackson for Maine Senate by November 2? | No | 1295 | 0.61 | 0.92 | $1,185 | $399 | politics |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.50% before 2027? | Yes | 3060 | 0.26 | 0.38 | $1,163 | $369 | other |
| Will the median home value in Austin Metro be between $427,000 and $437,000 on December 31? | No | 1174 | 0.87 | 0.98 | $1,148 | $131 | crypto |
| Will Muamer Tankovic score the most goals in the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League? | No | 1170 | 0.86 | 0.96 | $1,120 | $117 | other |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027? | No | 2998 | 0.25 | 0.34 | $1,022 | $269 | other |
| Will "Wuthering Heights" be nominated for Best Production Design at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 1207 | 0.75 | 0.76 | $911 | $10 | geopolitics |
| Will Jake Bauers lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in RBI? | No | 1008 | 0.80 | 0.87 | $878 | $71 | other |
| Will Stranger Things rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched TV Shows of 2026? | No | 1242 | 0.62 | 0.66 | $814 | $48 | other |
| Will Conor McGregor rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Athletes of 2026? | No | 974 | 0.78 | 0.81 | $794 | $31 | other |
| Will annual inflation be 3.9% in October? | No | 760 | 0.90 | 0.99 | $751 | $67 | macro |
| Will Marseille finish top 8 in UEL league phase? | No | 800 | 0.71 | 0.88 | $701 | $134 | other |
| Will Legalise Cannabis win the third-most seats in the next New South Wales state election? | No | 662 | 0.91 | 0.96 | $639 | $36 | esports |
| Will Salesforce Q3 current RPO growth (CC) be between 13% and 14%? | No | 625 | 0.89 | 0.97 | $608 | $53 | other |
| Will Waymo launch in Sacramento, CA by December 31 2026? | No | 742 | 0.82 | 0.81 | $601 | −$8 | tech |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.6% before 2027? | Yes | 3686 | 0.13 | 0.15 | $571 | $81 | other |
| Will Göztepe be relegated from the 2026-27 Süper Lig? | No | 641 | 0.77 | 0.89 | $567 | $73 | other |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.45% before 2027? | Yes | 2384 | 0.17 | 0.23 | $536 | $132 | other |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.40% before 2027? | Yes | 3474 | 0.13 | 0.14 | $486 | $41 | other |
| Welltower (WELL) Q3 same store NOI (SSNOI) growth 15% to 18%? | Yes | 685 | 0.34 | 0.67 | $460 | $229 | other |
| Carles Puigdemont back in Spain by October 31, 2026? | No | 504 | 0.81 | 0.89 | $451 | $41 | other |
| Will Cúcuta Deportivo be relegated from the 2026 Colombia Primera A? | No | 466 | 0.66 | 0.91 | $422 | $115 | other |
| Will Lam Research (LRCX) Q1 total revenue be above $8.1B? | Yes | 508 | 0.79 | 0.82 | $419 | $17 | crypto |
| Will Waymo launch in Chicago, IL by December 31 2026? | No | 445 | 0.89 | 0.91 | $405 | $9 | tech |
Recent activity
| When | Side | Market | Outcome | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27m ago | BUY | Will Hamburger SV be relegated from the 2026-27 Bundesliga? | No | 0.80 | $2,154 |
| 32m ago | BUY | Will Republicans win white voters in the midterms? | Yes | 0.82 | $7,095 |
| 89m ago | BUY | Will João Costa record the most assists in the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League? | No | 0.89 | $114 |
| 2h ago | BUY | First Round Outright Winner in the GA-14 House Election? | Yes | 0.73 | $43 |
| 8h ago | BUY | Will Göztepe be relegated from the 2026-27 Süper Lig? | Yes | 0.10 | $14 |
| 9h ago | BUY | Will Göztepe be relegated from the 2026-27 Süper Lig? | Yes | 0.10 | $2 |
| 9h ago | BUY | Will Muamer Tankovic score the most goals in the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League? | Yes | 0.01 | $0 |
| 11h ago | BUY | Will Muamer Tankovic score the most goals in the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League? | Yes | 0.01 | $0 |
| 13h ago | BUY | Will Timothée Chalamet be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 0.09 | $4 |
| 15h ago | BUY | Will Muamer Tankovic score the most goals in the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League? | Yes | 0.01 | $3 |
| 16h ago | BUY | Will Timothée Chalamet be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 0.09 | $11 |
| 22h ago | BUY | Will Göztepe be relegated from the 2026-27 Süper Lig? | No | 0.77 | $613 |
| 22h ago | BUY | Will Muamer Tankovic score the most goals in the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League? | No | 0.86 | $1,334 |
| 23h ago | BUY | Will Timothée Chalamet be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 0.09 | $2 |
| 23h ago | BUY | Will Timothée Chalamet be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 0.78 | $3,877 |
| 23h ago | BUY | Will Timothée Chalamet be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 0.80 | $84 |
| 26h ago | BUY | Will Rasmus Andersson win the 2026-27 James Norris Memorial Trophy? | No | 0.88 | $160 |
| 26h ago | SELL | Will Miguel Tapias win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year? | No | 0.99 | $40 |
| 26h ago | SELL | Will Miguel Tapias win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year? | No | 0.99 | $119 |
| 28h ago | BUY | Coca-Cola (KO) Q3 organic revenue (non-GAAP) growth 3.5% to 5%? | Yes | 0.03 | $1 |
| 28h ago | SELL | Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Sound at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 0.91 | $658 |
| 33h ago | BUY | Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Sound at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 0.05 | $30 |
| 36h ago | BUY | Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Sound at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 0.05 | $5 |
| 40h ago | BUY | Will Salesforce Q3 current RPO growth (CC) be between 13% and 14%? | Yes | 0.03 | $1 |
| 40h ago | BUY | Will GPT Astra's output price be at or above $60 in 2026? | No | 0.72 | $168 |
| 41h ago | BUY | Will annual inflation be 3.7% in October? | Yes | 0.79 | $81 |
| 41h ago | BUY | Will annual inflation be 3.9% in October? | No | 0.90 | $684 |
| 41h ago | BUY | Will Core CPI YoY be 2.6% in October? | Yes | 0.69 | $145 |
| 41h ago | BUY | Will Stranger Things rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched TV Shows of 2026? | No | 0.62 | $766 |
| 41h ago | BUY | Will Salesforce Q3 current RPO growth (CC) be between 13% and 14%? | Yes | 0.03 | $1 |
| 41h ago | BUY | Will Seagate (STX) Q1 hard drive exabyte shipments be above 250? | No | 0.83 | $83 |
| 41h ago | BUY | Will the Ornn H100 Index be at least $3.25 on November 30, 2026? | No | 0.70 | $123 |
| 41h ago | BUY | Coca-Cola (KO) Q3 organic revenue (non-GAAP) growth 3.5% to 5%? | No | 0.73 | $298 |
| 41h ago | BUY | Talarico Texas Senate odds hit 70% by November 2? | No | 0.69 | $218 |
| 41h ago | BUY | Will Salesforce Q3 current RPO growth (CC) be between 13% and 14%? | No | 0.89 | $555 |
| 41h ago | BUY | Will Salesforce Q3 current RPO growth (CC) be below 13%? | No | 0.82 | $158 |
| 41h ago | BUY | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18? | No | 0.89 | $93 |
| 41h ago | BUY | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18? | No | 0.89 | $894 |
| 42h ago | BUY | Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Sound at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 0.05 | $5 |
| 42h ago | BUY | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18? | No | 0.43 | $110 |