cashy 87
0x8f42ae0a01c0383c7ca8bd060b86a645ee74b88f · polymarket.com ↗ · trading since 2024-09
Realized PnL
$559,479
Months in profit
24 / 26
Win rate (events)
74%
ROI per market
7.2%
Avg stake
$8,063
Median hold
19.0 d
Volume
$7,748,263
5m crypto share
0%
Win rate, ROI and focus are computed on the 999 most recent closed non-crypto markets (since 2024-11-01); realized PnL and months are all-time.
Monthly realized PnL
Focus
geopolitics 733 other 176 politics 20 sports 19 crypto 18 esports 16
Trades captured by our feed
| When | Wallet | Side | Market | Outcome | Price | Size | Cat |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No trades captured yet. The feed fills up as tracked wallets trade. | |||||||
Open positions (69)
| Market | Side | Shares | Avg | Now | Value | PnL | Cat |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | No | 31760 | 0.85 | 0.91 | $28,743 | $1,688 | esports |
| Iran Nuke before 2027? | No | 13332 | 0.86 | 0.97 | $12,919 | $1,409 | geopolitics |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 12221 | 0.88 | 0.79 | $9,593 | −$1,183 | politics |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 50000 | 0.27 | 0.15 | $7,550 | −$5,900 | politics |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? | No | 8444 | 0.66 | 0.55 | $4,602 | −$988 | geopolitics |
| Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | No | 3590 | 0.99 | 0.99 | $3,566 | $26 | esports |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | Yes | 8504 | 0.49 | 0.41 | $3,444 | −$686 | other |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026? | Yes | 3511 | 0.94 | 0.95 | $3,332 | $14 | other |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | No | 5555 | 0.24 | 0.30 | $1,694 | $361 | geopolitics |
| Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | No | 1856 | 0.74 | 0.79 | $1,466 | $93 | esports |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 12245 | 0.13 | 0.10 | $1,286 | −$306 | geopolitics |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 2686 | 0.46 | 0.26 | $710 | −$533 | other |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 20958 | 0.03 | 0.03 | $587 | −$64 | politics |
| Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | Yes | 807 | 0.62 | 0.65 | $525 | $21 | esports |
| Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026? | Yes | 4860 | 0.58 | 0.09 | $437 | −$2,404 | geopolitics |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 531 | 0.63 | 0.77 | $409 | $75 | esports |
| Will Benny Gantz be the next Israeli Minister of Defense? | No | 410 | 0.99 | 0.99 | $408 | $2 | politics |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | No | 3351 | 0.16 | 0.12 | $385 | −$162 | geopolitics |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30? | Yes | 1497 | 0.35 | 0.26 | $382 | −$142 | geopolitics |
| Israeli election results in a hung parliament? | Yes | 950 | 0.34 | 0.35 | $337 | $14 | esports |
| IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31? | Yes | 1394 | 0.17 | 0.17 | $230 | −$6 | other |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 4865 | 0.47 | 0.04 | $219 | −$2,067 | geopolitics |
| Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by December 31? | Yes | 520 | 0.25 | 0.28 | $148 | $19 | other |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 77 | 0.79 | 1.00 | $77 | $16 | geopolitics |
| Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31? | Yes | 1018 | 0.11 | 0.07 | $66 | −$50 | other |
| IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31? | Yes | 1681 | 0.02 | 0.03 | $48 | $7 | other |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? | Yes | 366 | 0.27 | 0.10 | $35 | −$64 | macro |
| Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Yes | 57 | 0.34 | 0.40 | $23 | $3 | esports |
| Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 4396 | 0.00 | 0.00 | $20 | $2 | politics |
| Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | No | 7 | 0.66 | 0.67 | $5 | $0 | esports |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | No | 16711 | 0.14 | 0.00 | $0 | −$2,416 | geopolitics |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | No | 16005 | 0.24 | 0.00 | $0 | −$3,921 | geopolitics |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 15077 | 0.05 | 0.00 | $0 | −$745 | geopolitics |
| Iran leadership change by May 31? | Yes | 12340 | 0.13 | 0.00 | $0 | −$1,626 | geopolitics |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12? | No | 12195 | 0.05 | 0.00 | $0 | −$653 | geopolitics |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | No | 11111 | 0.07 | 0.00 | $0 | −$778 | geopolitics |
| Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 2 Croatia? | Yes | 10955 | 0.10 | 0.00 | $0 | −$1,142 | sports |
| Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? | No | 8888 | 0.13 | 0.00 | $0 | −$1,155 | other |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | Yes | 7777 | 0.16 | 0.00 | $0 | −$1,244 | geopolitics |
| Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 24, 2026? | No | 7211 | 0.07 | 0.00 | $0 | −$505 | other |
Recent activity
| When | Side | Market | Outcome | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 57m ago | BUY | Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | Yes | 0.62 | $504 |
| 2h ago | BUY | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 0.13 | $1,592 |
| 3h ago | BUY | IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31? | Yes | 0.17 | $236 |
| 3h ago | BUY | IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31? | Yes | 0.02 | $41 |
| 4h ago | BUY | Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | No | 0.66 | $5 |
| 6h ago | SELL | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24? | Yes | 0.88 | $142 |
| 17h ago | SELL | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22? | Yes | 0.92 | $19,341 |
| 18h ago | BUY | Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026? | Yes | 0.95 | $1,690 |
| 23h ago | BUY | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22? | Yes | 0.65 | $206 |
| 23h ago | BUY | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22? | Yes | 0.65 | $96 |
| 23h ago | BUY | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22? | Yes | 0.65 | $827 |
| 23h ago | BUY | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22? | Yes | 0.65 | $1,846 |
| 23h ago | BUY | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22? | Yes | 0.65 | $636 |
| 23h ago | BUY | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24? | Yes | 0.72 | $14 |
| 23h ago | BUY | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24? | Yes | 0.72 | $26 |
| 23h ago | SELL | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | No | 0.36 | $1,714 |
| 23h ago | SELL | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | No | 0.35 | $435 |
| 23h ago | SELL | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | No | 0.35 | $3 |
| 23h ago | SELL | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | No | 0.35 | $5 |
| 23h ago | SELL | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | No | 0.35 | $35 |
| 23h ago | SELL | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | No | 0.35 | $3 |
| 23h ago | SELL | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | No | 0.35 | $1 |
| 23h ago | SELL | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | No | 0.35 | $1 |
| 23h ago | SELL | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | No | 0.35 | $1 |
| 23h ago | SELL | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | No | 0.35 | $979 |
| 23h ago | BUY | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22? | Yes | 0.77 | $4 |
| 23h ago | BUY | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22? | Yes | 0.77 | $2,002 |
| 23h ago | BUY | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22? | Yes | 0.77 | $216 |
| 23h ago | BUY | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24? | Yes | 0.72 | $77 |
| 23h ago | BUY | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22? | Yes | 0.77 | $328 |
| 23h ago | SELL | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | No | 0.35 | $204 |
| 23h ago | SELL | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | No | 0.38 | $146 |
| 23h ago | BUY | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22? | Yes | 0.79 | $5,882 |
| 23h ago | BUY | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22? | Yes | 0.76 | $3,028 |
| 23h ago | BUY | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22? | Yes | 0.75 | $3 |
| 23h ago | BUY | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22? | Yes | 0.75 | $555 |
| 23h ago | SELL | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | No | 0.39 | $815 |
| 23h ago | SELL | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | No | 0.39 | $1,360 |
| 23h ago | SELL | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | No | 0.37 | $1,535 |
| 23h ago | SELL | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | No | 0.35 | $1,626 |