willsom 83
0xaa99a6c279d34492683db6ff1818aa1f8485dbbf · polymarket.com ↗ · trading since 2025-08
Realized PnL
$43,877
Months in profit
12 / 13
Win rate (events)
68%
ROI per market
5.4%
Avg stake
$1,472
Median hold
23.4 d
Volume
$981,497
5m crypto share
0%
Win rate, ROI and focus are computed on the 707 most recent closed non-crypto markets (since 2025-11-15); realized PnL and months are all-time.
Monthly realized PnL
Focus
other 254 geopolitics 216 tech 97 culture 36 esports 32 crypto 26
Trades captured by our feed
| When | Wallet | Side | Market | Outcome | Price | Size | Cat |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No trades captured yet. The feed fills up as tracked wallets trade. | |||||||
Open positions (100)
| Market | Side | Shares | Avg | Now | Value | PnL | Cat |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30? | No | 4824 | 0.37 | 0.57 | $2,750 | $961 | other |
| Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? | No | 3000 | 0.71 | 0.84 | $2,520 | $390 | other |
| Will Minnesota use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? | No | 2581 | 0.89 | 0.97 | $2,513 | $207 | esports |
| Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? | No | 2768 | 0.77 | 0.81 | $2,256 | $123 | other |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 3000 | 0.66 | 0.71 | $2,145 | $165 | politics |
| Will Ukraine sign an EU accession treaty by December 31, 2027? | No | 2393 | 0.78 | 0.85 | $2,034 | $174 | geopolitics |
| Will North Carolina use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? | Yes | 1957 | 0.88 | 0.97 | $1,902 | $170 | esports |
| Will New Jersey use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? | No | 1729 | 0.85 | 0.97 | $1,683 | $204 | esports |
| Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by December 31? | No | 2000 | 0.77 | 0.82 | $1,650 | $105 | other |
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? | No | 1905 | 0.69 | 0.86 | $1,648 | $339 | other |
| John Ratcliffe out as CIA Director by December 31? | No | 1760 | 0.81 | 0.90 | $1,575 | $154 | other |
| Will the Malaysian House of Representatives be dissolved by December 31, 2026? | No | 1698 | 0.65 | 0.88 | $1,485 | $376 | other |
| Will Kevin O'Leary's Utah Data Center project break ground in 2026? | No | 1705 | 0.68 | 0.81 | $1,374 | $219 | other |
| Tompkins County District Attorney out by November 30? | No | 1400 | 0.76 | 0.98 | $1,372 | $305 | other |
| OpenAI criminally charged in the US in 2026? | No | 1531 | 0.72 | 0.89 | $1,355 | $255 | tech |
| Will Daniel Mullen win the 2026 Charlottetown mayoral election? | No | 1588 | 0.73 | 0.83 | $1,318 | $162 | esports |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 1700 | 0.62 | 0.64 | $1,080 | $26 | politics |
| Will Nebraska use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? | No | 1051 | 0.87 | 0.97 | $1,020 | $107 | esports |
| Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1247 | 0.31 | 0.77 | $954 | $569 | other |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | Yes | 1323 | 0.50 | 0.71 | $938 | $276 | politics |
| Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? | Yes | 1500 | 0.68 | 0.63 | $937 | −$87 | esports |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | No | 2000 | 0.44 | 0.41 | $830 | −$50 | politics |
| Saxony-Anhalt snap election called in 2026? | No | 1000 | 0.79 | 0.82 | $820 | $30 | esports |
| Will Miloš Vučević win the next Serbia presidential election? | No | 1064 | 0.70 | 0.74 | $787 | $38 | esports |
| Doug Ford out as PC Party Leader by December 31? | No | 820 | 0.80 | 0.95 | $783 | $131 | other |
| Will Milan Majerský win the 2026 Prešov Region gubernatorial election? | Yes | 861 | 0.78 | 0.91 | $779 | $108 | esports |
| Will Anthropic launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027? | No | 1060 | 0.65 | 0.72 | $768 | $84 | tech |
| Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? | No | 1221 | 0.57 | 0.62 | $753 | $62 | esports |
| Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | Yes | 904 | 0.73 | 0.82 | $741 | $80 | politics |
| Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? | Yes | 1000 | 0.71 | 0.69 | $690 | −$20 | esports |
| Will John James Akpanudoedehe win the 2027 Akwa Ibom State gubernatorial election? | No | 799 | 0.77 | 0.83 | $664 | $47 | esports |
| US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31? | No | 673 | 0.62 | 0.95 | $637 | $218 | macro |
| U.S. enacts Protect College Sports Act before 2027? | No | 1234 | 0.68 | 0.48 | $589 | −$252 | other |
| Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Aguascalientes Congress election? | No | 672 | 0.54 | 0.86 | $578 | $217 | esports |
| Congress approves Iran deal in 2026? | No | 600 | 0.57 | 0.89 | $534 | $194 | geopolitics |
| Plague case in US by December 31? | No | 498 | 0.81 | 0.93 | $461 | $59 | other |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | Yes | 634 | 0.50 | 0.71 | $450 | $130 | esports |
| Will Wisconsin use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? | No | 467 | 0.83 | 0.95 | $446 | $58 | esports |
| Will Dolly Parton be the #1 searched passing on Google this year? | No | 759 | 0.39 | 0.46 | $349 | $53 | other |
| Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? | Yes | 2132 | 0.38 | 0.16 | $341 | −$468 | other |
Recent activity
| When | Side | Market | Outcome | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4h ago | SELL | Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 0.79 | $12 |
| 5h ago | SELL | Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? | No | 0.60 | $729 |
| 20h ago | BUY | Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? | No | 0.57 | $1,382 |
| 36h ago | SELL | Will Miloš Vučević win the next Serbia presidential election? | No | 0.89 | $108 |
| 36h ago | SELL | Will Miloš Vučević win the next Serbia presidential election? | No | 0.89 | $657 |
| 38h ago | SELL | Will Miloš Vučević win the next Serbia presidential election? | No | 0.89 | $9 |
| 44h ago | SELL | Will Donald Trump visit Minnesota in 2026? | No | 0.18 | $14 |
| 44h ago | SELL | Will Donald Trump visit Minnesota in 2026? | No | 0.21 | $21 |
| 44h ago | SELL | Will Donald Trump visit Minnesota in 2026? | No | 0.26 | $51 |
| 44h ago | SELL | Will Donald Trump visit Minnesota in 2026? | No | 0.24 | $240 |
| 44h ago | BUY | Will Donald Trump visit Minnesota in 2026? | No | 0.60 | $303 |
| 45h ago | SELL | Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Aguascalientes Congress election? | No | 0.87 | $4 |
| 3d ago | BUY | Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? | No | 0.66 | $148 |
| 3d ago | BUY | Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? | No | 0.66 | $380 |
| 3d ago | BUY | Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? | No | 0.66 | $132 |
| 3d ago | BUY | Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? | No | 0.72 | $720 |
| 3d ago | SELL | Will Daniel Mullen win the 2026 Charlottetown mayoral election? | No | 0.98 | $72 |
| 3d ago | BUY | Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? | No | 0.75 | $743 |
| 3d ago | BUY | Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? | No | 0.75 | $8 |
| 3d ago | BUY | Will Daniel Mullen win the 2026 Charlottetown mayoral election? | No | 0.73 | $1,209 |
| 4d ago | BUY | Will Donald Trump visit Minnesota in 2026? | No | 0.79 | $104 |
| 4d ago | BUY | Will Donald Trump visit Minnesota in 2026? | No | 0.66 | $495 |
| 4d ago | BUY | Will Dolly Parton be the #1 searched passing on Google this year? | No | 0.39 | $296 |
| 4d ago | BUY | Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by December 31? | No | 0.77 | $1,545 |
| 5d ago | SELL | Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second? | Yes | 0.91 | $151 |
| 5d ago | SELL | Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second? | Yes | 0.91 | $665 |
| 5d ago | BUY | Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second? | Yes | 0.80 | $716 |
| 5d ago | BUY | Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+? | Yes | 0.16 | $16 |
| 5d ago | BUY | Russell Brand convicted of sex crimes by March 31, 2027? | No | 0.66 | $13 |
| 5d ago | SELL | Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+? | Yes | 0.80 | $18 |
| 5d ago | SELL | Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+? | Yes | 0.83 | $597 |
| 5d ago | BUY | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 0.62 | $784 |
| 5d ago | BUY | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 0.62 | $3 |
| 5d ago | BUY | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 0.62 | $267 |
| 5d ago | SELL | Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 0.77 | $800 |
| 5d ago | BUY | Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? | Yes | 0.71 | $124 |
| 5d ago | BUY | Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? | Yes | 0.71 | $114 |
| 5d ago | BUY | Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? | Yes | 0.71 | $9 |
| 5d ago | BUY | Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? | Yes | 0.71 | $312 |
| 5d ago | BUY | Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? | Yes | 0.71 | $37 |