ElonJail 80
0xb831a1d17dc7cc13815e665fb94f34473e33892b · polymarket.com ↗ · trading since 2025-11
Realized PnL
$19,530
Months in profit
11 / 12
Win rate (events)
63%
ROI per market
4.7%
Avg stake
$1,183
Median hold
5.2 d
Volume
$210,245
5m crypto share
0%
Win rate, ROI and focus are computed on the 506 most recent closed non-crypto markets (since 2025-11-21); realized PnL and months are all-time.
Monthly realized PnL
Focus
other 443 esports 29 politics 14 sports 8 geopolitics 8 tech 2
Trades captured by our feed
| When | Wallet | Side | Market | Outcome | Price | Size | Cat |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17h ago | ElonJail | BUY | Will Goiás EC win on 2026-10-19? | Yes | 0.36 | $4 | other |
| 26h ago | ElonJail | BUY | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026? | No | 0.79 | $8 | other |
Open positions (100)
| Market | Side | Shares | Avg | Now | Value | PnL | Cat |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 6000 | 0.50 | 0.99 | $5,925 | $2,925 | esports |
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 6000 | 0.50 | 0.01 | $75 | −$2,925 | esports |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026? | Yes | 38232 | 0.00 | 0.00 | $19 | −$19 | other |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | Yes | 47970 | 0.00 | 0.00 | $0 | −$48 | other |
| Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 45088 | 0.00 | 0.00 | $0 | −$91 | other |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026? | Yes | 39590 | 0.00 | 0.00 | $0 | −$97 | other |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | Yes | 39037 | 0.00 | 0.00 | $0 | −$57 | other |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026? | Yes | 34586 | 0.00 | 0.00 | $0 | −$35 | other |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026? | Yes | 31746 | 0.00 | 0.00 | $0 | −$81 | other |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026? | Yes | 30535 | 0.00 | 0.00 | $0 | −$31 | other |
| Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026? | Yes | 29892 | 0.00 | 0.00 | $0 | −$31 | other |
| Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026? | Yes | 29833 | 0.00 | 0.00 | $0 | −$31 | other |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026? | Yes | 29394 | 0.00 | 0.00 | $0 | −$61 | other |
| Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026? | Yes | 28601 | 0.00 | 0.00 | $0 | −$78 | other |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | Yes | 28597 | 0.00 | 0.00 | $0 | −$29 | other |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026? | Yes | 27715 | 0.00 | 0.00 | $0 | −$56 | other |
| Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | Yes | 26100 | 0.00 | 0.00 | $0 | −$26 | other |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 13 to July 15, 2026? | Yes | 25683 | 0.00 | 0.00 | $0 | −$31 | other |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | Yes | 22545 | 0.00 | 0.00 | $0 | −$23 | other |
| Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | Yes | 22454 | 0.00 | 0.00 | $0 | −$22 | other |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026? | Yes | 22395 | 0.00 | 0.00 | $0 | −$45 | other |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | Yes | 21994 | 0.00 | 0.00 | $0 | −$35 | other |
| Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026? | Yes | 21156 | 0.00 | 0.00 | $0 | −$22 | other |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026? | Yes | 21090 | 0.00 | 0.00 | $0 | −$34 | other |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | Yes | 20837 | 0.00 | 0.00 | $0 | −$21 | other |
| Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026? | Yes | 20050 | 0.00 | 0.00 | $0 | −$60 | other |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026? | Yes | 20000 | 0.00 | 0.00 | $0 | −$40 | other |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | Yes | 20000 | 0.00 | 0.00 | $0 | −$40 | other |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | Yes | 19957 | 0.02 | 0.00 | $0 | −$438 | other |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 13 to July 15, 2026? | Yes | 19895 | 0.00 | 0.00 | $0 | −$61 | other |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026? | Yes | 19267 | 0.00 | 0.00 | $0 | −$37 | other |
| Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026? | Yes | 18505 | 0.00 | 0.00 | $0 | −$19 | other |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026? | Yes | 18370 | 0.00 | 0.00 | $0 | −$25 | other |
| Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026? | Yes | 17635 | 0.00 | 0.00 | $0 | −$18 | other |
| Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026? | Yes | 16529 | 0.00 | 0.00 | $0 | −$17 | other |
| Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | Yes | 15341 | 0.00 | 0.00 | $0 | −$15 | other |
| Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026? | Yes | 15176 | 0.00 | 0.00 | $0 | −$15 | other |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | Yes | 13460 | 0.02 | 0.00 | $0 | −$211 | other |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | Yes | 12990 | 0.00 | 0.00 | $0 | −$13 | other |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026? | Yes | 12977 | 0.00 | 0.00 | $0 | −$13 | other |
Recent activity
| When | Side | Market | Outcome | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 85m ago | SELL | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026? | Yes | 0.10 | $17 |
| 86m ago | SELL | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026? | Yes | 0.10 | $2 |
| 86m ago | SELL | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026? | Yes | 0.10 | $2 |
| 2h ago | BUY | Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026? | Yes | 0.00 | $0 |
| 2h ago | BUY | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026? | Yes | 0.06 | $1 |
| 2h ago | BUY | Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026? | Yes | 0.00 | $0 |
| 2h ago | BUY | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026? | Yes | 0.06 | $5 |
| 2h ago | BUY | Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026? | Yes | 0.00 | $0 |
| 2h ago | BUY | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026? | Yes | 0.06 | $4 |
| 2h ago | BUY | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026? | Yes | 0.06 | $3 |
| 2h ago | BUY | Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026? | Yes | 0.00 | $0 |
| 2h ago | SELL | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026? | Yes | 0.06 | $39 |
| 2h ago | BUY | Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026? | Yes | 0.00 | $0 |
| 2h ago | SELL | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026? | Yes | 0.06 | $19 |
| 3h ago | SELL | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026? | Yes | 0.06 | $22 |
| 3h ago | SELL | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026? | Yes | 0.06 | $4 |
| 3h ago | SELL | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026? | Yes | 0.73 | $18 |
| 3h ago | SELL | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026? | Yes | 0.66 | $31 |
| 3h ago | SELL | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026? | Yes | 0.66 | $35 |
| 3h ago | SELL | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026? | Yes | 0.06 | $1 |
| 3h ago | SELL | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026? | Yes | 0.54 | $13 |
| 3h ago | SELL | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026? | Yes | 0.54 | $14 |
| 4h ago | SELL | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026? | Yes | 0.45 | $0 |
| 4h ago | SELL | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026? | Yes | 0.45 | $22 |
| 4h ago | SELL | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026? | Yes | 0.40 | $10 |
| 5h ago | BUY | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026? | Yes | 0.06 | $1 |
| 6h ago | BUY | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026? | Yes | 0.00 | $14 |
| 6h ago | BUY | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026? | Yes | 0.04 | $2 |
| 6h ago | SELL | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026? | No | 0.85 | $37 |
| 6h ago | SELL | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026? | No | 0.85 | $147 |
| 6h ago | BUY | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026? | Yes | 0.04 | $7 |
| 7h ago | BUY | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026? | Yes | 0.04 | $0 |
| 7h ago | SELL | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026? | No | 0.85 | $9 |
| 7h ago | BUY | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026? | Yes | 0.04 | $1 |
| 7h ago | SELL | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026? | No | 0.85 | $16 |
| 7h ago | BUY | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026? | Yes | 0.04 | $0 |
| 7h ago | BUY | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026? | Yes | 0.04 | $2 |
| 7h ago | SELL | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026? | No | 0.85 | $43 |
| 9h ago | BUY | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026? | Yes | 0.04 | $0 |
| 9h ago | BUY | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026? | Yes | 0.04 | $0 |