Kevindoto 80
0xcd71fd5370880f3d92bb941e628c05840fe0d127 · polymarket.com ↗ · trading since 2024-07
Realized PnL
$582,200
Months in profit
21 / 27
Win rate (events)
79%
ROI per market
3.6%
Avg stake
$22,172
Median hold
24.5 d
Volume
$13,840,637
5m crypto share
0%
Win rate, ROI and focus are computed on the 724 most recent closed non-crypto markets (since 2024-07-27); realized PnL and months are all-time.
Monthly realized PnL
Focus
other 325 culture 96 esports 94 geopolitics 75 politics 34 macro 33
Trades captured by our feed
| When | Wallet | Side | Market | Outcome | Price | Size | Cat |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No trades captured yet. The feed fills up as tracked wallets trade. | |||||||
Open positions (31)
| Market | Side | Shares | Avg | Now | Value | PnL | Cat |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 100000 | 0.73 | 0.85 | $85,500 | $12,635 | geopolitics |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 67664 | 0.87 | 0.93 | $62,589 | $4,024 | other |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | 57675 | 0.75 | 0.97 | $56,060 | $12,518 | other |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? | No | 51718 | 0.95 | 0.98 | $50,529 | $1,606 | other |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 50000 | 0.64 | 0.86 | $43,250 | $11,324 | other |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 42844 | 0.66 | 0.71 | $30,419 | $2,119 | politics |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | No | 30000 | 0.82 | 0.84 | $25,200 | $633 | other |
| Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | No | 50000 | 0.29 | 0.39 | $19,250 | $4,750 | politics |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? | No | 20000 | 0.53 | 0.94 | $18,900 | $8,304 | geopolitics |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 20000 | 0.55 | 0.93 | $18,500 | $7,563 | geopolitics |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | No | 23509 | 0.65 | 0.78 | $18,337 | $2,954 | esports |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 20000 | 0.84 | 0.89 | $17,700 | $900 | geopolitics |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | No | 17429 | 0.78 | 0.95 | $16,645 | $3,089 | geopolitics |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 17617 | 0.85 | 0.77 | $13,556 | −$1,400 | esports |
| US strike on Mexico by December 31? | No | 10784 | 0.75 | 0.96 | $10,347 | $2,261 | geopolitics |
| Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? | No | 9321 | 0.82 | 0.96 | $8,916 | $1,300 | other |
| US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026? | No | 6515 | 0.93 | 0.96 | $6,254 | $220 | other |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? | No | 5000 | 0.90 | 0.97 | $4,868 | $368 | geopolitics |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 3865 | 0.95 | 0.96 | $3,724 | $45 | esports |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | No | 10000 | 0.35 | 0.36 | $3,650 | $150 | politics |
| Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026? | Yes | 1674 | 0.97 | 0.96 | $1,609 | −$13 | politics |
| JD Vance out as VP by December 31? | No | 1207 | 0.94 | 0.96 | $1,158 | $24 | other |
| Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026? | No | 764 | 0.95 | 0.96 | $732 | $6 | politics |
| Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | No | 543 | 0.91 | 0.95 | $516 | $22 | other |
| Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026? | Yes | 433 | 0.60 | 0.70 | $301 | $42 | other |
| Taylor Swift pregnant before 2027? | No | 171 | 0.87 | 0.78 | $133 | −$15 | other |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 12 | 0.69 | 0.87 | $10 | $2 | geopolitics |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | Yes | 26932 | 0.59 | 0.00 | $0 | −$15,994 | other |
| Will "Facing El Chapo" be the top US Netflix movie this week? | Yes | 1675 | 0.00 | 0.00 | $0 | −$2 | culture |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026? | No | 1166 | 0.83 | 0.00 | $0 | −$968 | geopolitics |
| Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit Japan? | No | 802 | 0.42 | 0.00 | $0 | −$337 | other |
Recent activity
| When | Side | Market | Outcome | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3d ago | SELL | Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? | No | 0.98 | $4,076 |
| 9d ago | BUY | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 0.66 | $25 |
| 12d ago | BUY | Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 0.72 | $3 |
| 12d ago | BUY | Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 0.72 | $7 |
| 12d ago | BUY | Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 0.72 | $7 |
| 13d ago | BUY | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 0.85 | $5 |
| 13d ago | BUY | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 0.85 | $10 |
| 13d ago | BUY | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 0.85 | $10 |
| 13d ago | BUY | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 0.85 | $10 |
| 13d ago | BUY | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 0.85 | $21 |
| 13d ago | BUY | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 0.85 | $42 |
| 13d ago | BUY | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 0.85 | $425 |
| 13d ago | BUY | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 0.85 | $5,394 |
| 13d ago | BUY | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 0.85 | $50 |
| 13d ago | BUY | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 0.85 | $1 |
| 13d ago | BUY | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 0.85 | $2 |
| 13d ago | BUY | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 0.85 | $2 |
| 13d ago | BUY | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 0.85 | $8 |
| 13d ago | BUY | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 0.85 | $4 |
| 13d ago | BUY | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 0.85 | $11 |
| 13d ago | BUY | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 0.85 | $21 |
| 13d ago | BUY | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 0.85 | $340 |
| 13d ago | BUY | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 0.85 | $425 |
| 13d ago | BUY | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 0.85 | $494 |
| 13d ago | BUY | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 0.85 | $38 |
| 13d ago | BUY | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 0.85 | $5 |
| 13d ago | BUY | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 0.85 | $6 |
| 13d ago | BUY | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 0.85 | $19 |
| 13d ago | BUY | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 0.85 | $6 |
| 13d ago | BUY | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 0.85 | $1 |
| 13d ago | BUY | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 0.85 | $5 |
| 13d ago | BUY | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 0.85 | $2 |
| 13d ago | BUY | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 0.85 | $3 |
| 13d ago | BUY | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 0.85 | $7,598 |
| 15d ago | BUY | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 0.64 | $8,150 |
| 16d ago | SELL | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | No | 0.59 | $1,684 |
| 16d ago | SELL | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | No | 0.59 | $1,266 |
| 17d ago | BUY | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 0.66 | $1,921 |
| 17d ago | SELL | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | No | 0.55 | $2,227 |
| 17d ago | SELL | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | No | 0.55 | $400 |