tsybka 84
0xd5ccdf772f795547e299de57f47966e24de8dea4 · polymarket.com ↗ · trading since 2024-07
Realized PnL
$333,233
Months in profit
25 / 28
Win rate (events)
85%
ROI per market
1.0%
Avg stake
$29,938
Median hold
22.7 d
Volume
$39,887,806
5m crypto share
0%
Win rate, ROI and focus are computed on the 941 most recent closed non-crypto markets (since 2024-08-03); realized PnL and months are all-time.
Monthly realized PnL
Focus
geopolitics 409 other 316 crypto 114 macro 29 sports 24 esports 20
Trades captured by our feed
| When | Wallet | Side | Market | Outcome | Price | Size | Cat |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10h ago | tsybka | BUY | Will Ukraine re-enter Terny by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 0.08 | $9 | geopolitics |
Open positions (13)
| Market | Side | Shares | Avg | Now | Value | PnL | Cat |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 91583 | 0.67 | 0.39 | $36,084 | −$24,865 | geopolitics |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | No | 33619 | 0.97 | 0.98 | $32,829 | $206 | geopolitics |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 29040 | 0.95 | 0.95 | $27,734 | $145 | geopolitics |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 18397 | 0.69 | 0.69 | $12,694 | −$68 | geopolitics |
| Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026? | No | 11333 | 0.85 | 0.93 | $10,540 | $911 | geopolitics |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 7771 | 0.78 | 0.72 | $5,595 | −$500 | geopolitics |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027? | Yes | 8929 | 0.47 | 0.49 | $4,375 | $187 | geopolitics |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026? | Yes | 7024 | 0.52 | 0.51 | $3,582 | −$52 | geopolitics |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 1755 | 0.58 | 0.15 | $263 | −$759 | geopolitics |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on October 29, 2026? | Yes | 98 | 0.80 | 0.79 | $78 | −$1 | geopolitics |
| Will Russia capture Bilytske by October 31, 2026? | No | 5 | 0.74 | 0.80 | $4 | $0 | geopolitics |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Terny by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 50 | 0.07 | 0.04 | $2 | −$1 | geopolitics |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 16 | 0.15 | 0.00 | $0 | −$2 | geopolitics |
Recent activity
| When | Side | Market | Outcome | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2h ago | SELL | Will Ukraine re-enter Terny by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 0.07 | $26 |
| 7h ago | BUY | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 0.36 | $537 |
| 7h ago | BUY | Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | No | 0.97 | $2,029 |
| 10h ago | BUY | Will Ukraine re-enter Terny by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 0.08 | $9 |
| 10h ago | SELL | Will Ukraine re-enter Terny by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 0.11 | $6 |
| 10h ago | BUY | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027? | Yes | 0.47 | $4,188 |
| 16h ago | SELL | Will Ukraine re-enter Terny by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 0.07 | $13 |
| 16h ago | SELL | Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | No | 0.97 | $2,340 |
| 30h ago | SELL | Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | No | 0.97 | $49 |
| 31h ago | SELL | Will Russia target Kyiv on October 29, 2026? | Yes | 0.82 | $48 |
| 33h ago | SELL | Will Russia target Kyiv on October 29, 2026? | Yes | 0.82 | $62 |
| 33h ago | SELL | Will Ukraine re-enter Terny by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 0.12 | $41 |
| 35h ago | SELL | Will Ukraine re-enter Terny by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 0.34 | $192 |
| 35h ago | SELL | Will Ukraine re-enter Terny by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 0.15 | $69 |
| 36h ago | SELL | Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | No | 0.97 | $18 |
| 37h ago | SELL | Will Ukraine re-enter Terny by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 0.13 | $68 |
| 37h ago | BUY | Will Ukraine re-enter Terny by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 0.07 | $130 |
| 37h ago | BUY | Will Ukraine re-enter Terny by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 0.28 | $161 |
| 45h ago | BUY | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 0.72 | $2,153 |
| 45h ago | BUY | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026? | Yes | 0.53 | $749 |
| 47h ago | SELL | Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | No | 0.97 | $34 |
| 47h ago | BUY | Will Russia target Kyiv on October 29, 2026? | Yes | 0.74 | $4 |
| 2d ago | BUY | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026? | Yes | 0.49 | $235 |
| 2d ago | SELL | Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | No | 0.97 | $19,294 |
| 2d ago | BUY | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 0.71 | $497 |
| 3d ago | SELL | Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 0.70 | $214 |
| 3d ago | BUY | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026? | Yes | 0.53 | $242 |
| 3d ago | BUY | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026? | Yes | 0.52 | $210 |
| 3d ago | BUY | Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 0.28 | $86 |
| 4d ago | BUY | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026? | Yes | 0.53 | $115 |
| 4d ago | BUY | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026? | Yes | 0.52 | $375 |
| 4d ago | BUY | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026? | Yes | 0.52 | $416 |
| 4d ago | BUY | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026? | Yes | 0.51 | $372 |
| 4d ago | BUY | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 0.35 | $490 |
| 4d ago | BUY | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026? | Yes | 0.50 | $755 |
| 5d ago | SELL | Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | No | 0.97 | $16,806 |
| 5d ago | BUY | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 0.37 | $2,629 |
| 5d ago | BUY | Will Russia target Kyiv on October 29, 2026? | Yes | 0.80 | $182 |
| 6d ago | SELL | Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | No | 0.98 | $49 |
| 6d ago | BUY | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 0.40 | $32 |