wan123 85
0xde7be6d489bce070a959e0cb813128ae659b5f4b · polymarket.com ↗ · trading since 2026-02
Realized PnL
$1,285,901
Months in profit
6 / 9
Win rate (events)
79%
ROI per market
21.6%
Avg stake
$85,662
Median hold
21.1 d
Volume
$20,338,119
5m crypto share
0%
Win rate, ROI and focus are computed on the 271 most recent closed non-crypto markets (since 2026-02-28); realized PnL and months are all-time.
Monthly realized PnL
Focus
geopolitics 112 sports 82 other 29 politics 18 macro 12 esports 7
Trades captured by our feed
| When | Wallet | Side | Market | Outcome | Price | Size | Cat |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29h ago | wan123 | BUY | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 0.72 | $36,000 | politics |
Open positions (100)
| Market | Side | Shares | Avg | Now | Value | PnL | Cat |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 280620 | 0.69 | 0.71 | $200,643 | $6,812 | politics |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 274558 | 0.59 | 0.64 | $174,344 | $12,194 | politics |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 127843 | 0.94 | 0.97 | $123,432 | $3,352 | esports |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | No | 140632 | 0.63 | 0.78 | $109,693 | $21,246 | esports |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | No | 192564 | 0.41 | 0.50 | $95,704 | $15,885 | esports |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 86068 | 0.41 | 0.95 | $82,195 | $46,639 | geopolitics |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 278312 | 0.10 | 0.15 | $43,138 | $16,097 | geopolitics |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 82056 | 0.52 | 0.49 | $40,618 | −$2,266 | esports |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 65278 | 0.37 | 0.44 | $28,559 | $4,153 | politics |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 539930 | 0.11 | 0.05 | $27,536 | −$32,306 | other |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | Yes | 100000 | 0.28 | 0.28 | $27,500 | −$499 | politics |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | No | 56397 | 0.30 | 0.28 | $15,509 | −$1,249 | politics |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement? | No | 98486 | 0.06 | 0.09 | $9,011 | $3,591 | other |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | Yes | 2524599 | 0.16 | 0.00 | $0 | −$397,018 | geopolitics |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | Yes | 987459 | 0.12 | 0.00 | $0 | −$115,891 | geopolitics |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | Yes | 936514 | 0.01 | 0.00 | $0 | −$6,131 | macro |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Yes | 871702 | 0.16 | 0.00 | $0 | −$135,960 | other |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026? | Yes | 743161 | 0.05 | 0.00 | $0 | −$36,200 | geopolitics |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Yes | 732031 | 0.16 | 0.00 | $0 | −$119,104 | other |
| Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 697402 | 0.03 | 0.00 | $0 | −$21,227 | other |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | Yes | 614934 | 0.09 | 0.00 | $0 | −$56,314 | geopolitics |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | Yes | 562409 | 0.11 | 0.00 | $0 | −$59,195 | geopolitics |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | Yes | 552409 | 0.23 | 0.00 | $0 | −$128,559 | geopolitics |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 15? | Yes | 430219 | 0.16 | 0.00 | $0 | −$66,808 | geopolitics |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? | Yes | 385230 | 0.19 | 0.00 | $0 | −$72,967 | geopolitics |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? | Yes | 356257 | 0.21 | 0.00 | $0 | −$74,921 | geopolitics |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | Yes | 324786 | 0.21 | 0.00 | $0 | −$66,835 | other |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 324181 | 0.45 | 0.00 | $0 | −$146,837 | other |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? | Yes | 309431 | 0.13 | 0.00 | $0 | −$40,860 | geopolitics |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 275964 | 0.04 | 0.00 | $0 | −$9,948 | geopolitics |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 6? | Yes | 270939 | 0.09 | 0.00 | $0 | −$24,268 | geopolitics |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 213285 | 0.01 | 0.00 | $0 | −$1,893 | macro |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? | No | 203910 | 0.05 | 0.00 | $0 | −$10,926 | macro |
| Dolphins vs. Vikings | Dolphins | 188554 | 0.18 | 0.00 | $0 | −$34,440 | sports |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | Thunder | 187904 | 0.23 | 0.00 | $0 | −$42,805 | sports |
| Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | No | 169854 | 0.09 | 0.00 | $0 | −$15,963 | politics |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks | Cavaliers | 165142 | 0.07 | 0.00 | $0 | −$10,857 | sports |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | Yes | 162838 | 0.12 | 0.00 | $0 | −$20,210 | geopolitics |
| Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine? | No | 150595 | 0.20 | 0.00 | $0 | −$29,925 | politics |
| Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas? | No | 149855 | 0.31 | 0.00 | $0 | −$45,785 | politics |
Recent activity
| When | Side | Market | Outcome | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6m ago | BUY | Celtics vs. Pistons | Celtics | 0.53 | $62 |
| 6m ago | BUY | Celtics vs. Pistons | Celtics | 0.53 | $17 |
| 8m ago | BUY | Celtics vs. Pistons | Celtics | 0.53 | $14 |
| 8m ago | BUY | Celtics vs. Pistons | Celtics | 0.53 | $17 |
| 10m ago | BUY | Celtics vs. Pistons | Celtics | 0.53 | $8 |
| 10m ago | BUY | Celtics vs. Pistons | Celtics | 0.53 | $2,532 |
| 3h ago | BUY | Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate? | Yes | 0.09 | $228 |
| 3h ago | BUY | Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate? | Yes | 0.03 | $69 |
| 3h ago | BUY | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31? | Yes | 0.12 | $786 |
| 3h ago | BUY | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2? | Yes | 0.14 | $717 |
| 3h ago | BUY | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? | Yes | 0.10 | $907 |
| 3h ago | BUY | Will there be no Hormuz agreement? | No | 0.08 | $387 |
| 23h ago | BUY | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24? | No | 0.20 | $1,302 |
| 24h ago | BUY | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24? | No | 0.20 | $0 |
| 24h ago | BUY | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24? | No | 0.20 | $696 |
| 24h ago | BUY | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24? | No | 0.20 | $2 |
| 25h ago | BUY | Commanders vs. 49ers | Commanders | 0.22 | $22,000 |
| 25h ago | BUY | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22? | No | 0.32 | $2,946 |
| 25h ago | BUY | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22? | No | 0.32 | $254 |
| 25h ago | BUY | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22? | No | 0.33 | $41 |
| 25h ago | BUY | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22? | No | 0.29 | $176 |
| 25h ago | BUY | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22? | No | 0.29 | $133 |
| 26h ago | BUY | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22? | Yes | 0.46 | $4,600 |
| 26h ago | BUY | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24? | Yes | 0.50 | $536 |
| 26h ago | BUY | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22? | Yes | 0.55 | $338 |
| 26h ago | BUY | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 0.50 | $163 |
| 26h ago | BUY | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 0.52 | $1,007 |
| 26h ago | BUY | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 0.52 | $863 |
| 26h ago | BUY | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 0.52 | $813 |
| 26h ago | BUY | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 0.52 | $20 |
| 26h ago | BUY | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 0.56 | $182 |
| 26h ago | BUY | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 0.52 | $52 |
| 26h ago | BUY | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 0.52 | $6 |
| 26h ago | BUY | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 0.52 | $416 |
| 26h ago | BUY | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 0.52 | $68 |
| 26h ago | BUY | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 0.52 | $810 |
| 26h ago | BUY | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 0.52 | $351 |
| 26h ago | BUY | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 0.55 | $4,048 |
| 26h ago | BUY | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 0.52 | $3 |
| 26h ago | BUY | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 0.52 | $4 |