M2sx92kljs42 85
0xb4f2592e67c333e73c923547cfe05e768180e5fa · polymarket.com ↗ · торгует с 2025-10
Реализованная прибыль
$57,172
Месяцев в плюсе
11 / 13
Побед (события)
78%
ROI на рынок
10.6%
Средняя ставка
$2,687
Медианный срок
24.4 д
Объём
$1,575,737
Доля 5-мин. крипто
0%
Процент побед, ROI и фокус посчитаны по 504 последним закрытым рынкам вне крипто (с 2025-10-13); прибыль и месяцы за всё время.
Прибыль по месяцам
Фокус
geopolitics 226 other 194 macro 44 tech 16 esports 10 politics 7
Сделки, пойманные нашей лентой
| Когда | Кошелёк | Сторона | Рынок | Исход | Цена | Размер | Кат. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Сделок пока нет. Лента наполняется по мере торговли отслеживаемых кошельков. | |||||||
Открытые позиции (100)
| Рынок | Сторона | Акций | Вход | Сейчас | Стоимость | PnL | Кат. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | No | 36101 | 0.07 | 0.89 | $32,130 | $29,636 | other |
| Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31 | No | 15261 | 0.33 | 0.95 | $14,498 | $9,406 | geopolitics |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 15896 | 0.65 | 0.88 | $13,909 | $3,549 | geopolitics |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | No | 21658 | 0.18 | 0.60 | $12,930 | $8,930 | geopolitics |
| Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Yes | 16346 | 0.57 | 0.72 | $11,851 | $2,479 | esports |
| Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026? | No | 9887 | 0.92 | 0.92 | $9,046 | −$44 | geopolitics |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | No | 10794 | 0.68 | 0.76 | $8,150 | $843 | other |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? | No | 8967 | 0.74 | 0.90 | $8,110 | $1,478 | macro |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | No | 10469 | 0.78 | 0.76 | $7,904 | −$218 | crypto |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? | No | 8625 | 0.41 | 0.85 | $7,374 | $3,801 | other |
| US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 7000 | 0.80 | 0.94 | $6,545 | $965 | geopolitics |
| Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31? | No | 6166 | 0.82 | 0.94 | $5,765 | $686 | geopolitics |
| Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31? | No | 7497 | 0.73 | 0.77 | $5,735 | $259 | macro |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? | No | 5893 | 0.66 | 0.88 | $5,186 | $1,296 | geopolitics |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | No | 4954 | 0.72 | 0.84 | $4,186 | $631 | tech |
| Ilhan Omar federally charged by October 31? | No | 4420 | 0.93 | 0.95 | $4,182 | $64 | macro |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | No | 3157 | 0.83 | 0.93 | $2,921 | $311 | geopolitics |
| FlyDubai co-pilot transferred to Israel by Oct. 31? | No | 2861 | 0.95 | 0.99 | $2,843 | $113 | geopolitics |
| Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? | Yes | 3695 | 0.74 | 0.76 | $2,790 | $43 | other |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? | No | 2839 | 0.67 | 0.94 | $2,683 | $783 | geopolitics |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 3052 | 0.61 | 0.81 | $2,457 | $595 | geopolitics |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? | No | 2625 | 0.56 | 0.92 | $2,402 | $932 | other |
| Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | No | 2707 | 0.00 | 0.87 | $2,343 | $2,343 | other |
| Pakistan military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026? | No | 2303 | 0.95 | 0.94 | $2,161 | −$24 | other |
| Will Israel Katz be the next Israeli Minister of Defense? | No | 2150 | 0.90 | 0.91 | $1,954 | $13 | politics |
| Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31? | No | 2086 | 0.65 | 0.85 | $1,773 | $415 | geopolitics |
| Ilhan Omar arrested by December 31, 2026? | No | 1852 | 0.83 | 0.93 | $1,713 | $177 | other |
| Turkey military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026? | No | 1407 | 0.90 | 0.99 | $1,397 | $132 | other |
| Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs? | No | 1435 | 0.83 | 0.96 | $1,373 | $176 | politics |
| Pakistan military action against Yemen by December 31, 2026? | No | 1321 | 0.84 | 0.86 | $1,142 | $33 | other |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? | No | 2688 | 0.35 | 0.41 | $1,089 | $159 | macro |
| US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026? | No | 1106 | 0.75 | 0.92 | $1,012 | $185 | other |
| Turkey military action against Yemen by December 31, 2026? | No | 973 | 0.85 | 0.92 | $891 | $59 | other |
| Will Yariv Levin be the next Israeli Minister of Justice? | No | 873 | 0.84 | 0.93 | $810 | $79 | politics |
| Ilhan Omar arrested by October 31, 2026? | No | 817 | 0.93 | 0.96 | $789 | $32 | other |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Israeli Minister of Defense? | No | 960 | 0.82 | 0.82 | $787 | $2 | politics |
| Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | No | 881 | 0.82 | 0.86 | $757 | $33 | other |
| Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | No | 664 | 0.78 | 0.95 | $634 | $119 | other |
| Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31? | No | 632 | 0.66 | 0.85 | $540 | $124 | geopolitics |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | No | 708 | 0.53 | 0.73 | $520 | $144 | geopolitics |
Последняя активность
| Когда | Сторона | Рынок | Исход | Цена | Размер |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 ч назад | BUY | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 0.61 | $468 |
| 23 ч назад | BUY | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 0.61 | $173 |
| 23 ч назад | BUY | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 0.61 | $879 |
| 23 ч назад | BUY | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 0.61 | $82 |
| 23 ч назад | BUY | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 0.61 | $259 |
| 23 ч назад | BUY | Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? | No | 0.88 | $2,900 |
| 25 ч назад | SELL | Will Miri Regev be the next Israeli Minister of Interior? | No | 0.99 | $20 |
| 33 ч назад | SELL | Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? | No | 0.37 | $122 |
| 33 ч назад | SELL | Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? | No | 0.37 | $18 |
| 33 ч назад | SELL | Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? | No | 0.37 | $148 |
| 33 ч назад | SELL | Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? | No | 0.37 | $50 |
| 33 ч назад | SELL | Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? | No | 0.37 | $74 |
| 33 ч назад | SELL | Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? | No | 0.37 | $83 |
| 33 ч назад | SELL | Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? | No | 0.36 | $360 |
| 33 ч назад | SELL | Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? | No | 0.37 | $130 |
| 33 ч назад | SELL | Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? | No | 0.37 | $78 |
| 33 ч назад | SELL | Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? | No | 0.37 | $222 |
| 36 ч назад | BUY | Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? | No | 0.34 | $385 |
| 36 ч назад | BUY | Pakistan military action against Yemen by December 31, 2026? | No | 0.85 | $217 |
| 36 ч назад | SELL | Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | No | 0.25 | $1,070 |
| 36 ч назад | SELL | Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? | No | 0.29 | $865 |
| 36 ч назад | SELL | Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? | No | 0.31 | $2,073 |
| 44 ч назад | SELL | Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? | No | 0.46 | $23 |
| 2 д назад | SELL | Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? | No | 0.46 | $2 |
| 2 д назад | SELL | Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? | No | 0.45 | $37 |
| 2 д назад | SELL | Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? | No | 0.45 | $20 |
| 2 д назад | SELL | Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? | No | 0.45 | $16 |
| 2 д назад | BUY | Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31? | No | 0.73 | $2,170 |
| 3 д назад | SELL | Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? | No | 0.45 | $2 |
| 3 д назад | SELL | Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? | No | 0.45 | $20 |
| 3 д назад | SELL | Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? | No | 0.45 | $14 |
| 3 д назад | SELL | Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? | No | 0.45 | $5 |
| 3 д назад | SELL | Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? | No | 0.45 | $20 |
| 3 д назад | SELL | Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? | No | 0.45 | $1 |
| 3 д назад | SELL | Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? | No | 0.45 | $4 |
| 3 д назад | SELL | Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? | No | 0.45 | $762 |
| 3 д назад | SELL | Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | No | 1.00 | $1,205 |
| 3 д назад | SELL | Turkey military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026? | No | 1.00 | $20 |
| 4 д назад | BUY | Ilhan Omar federally charged by October 31? | No | 0.93 | $625 |
| 4 д назад | BUY | Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31? | No | 0.73 | $2,352 |