Parz1vaI 81
0xb10047d6a254b2ebb306d7a7d13bf59171ab6461 · polymarket.com ↗ · торгует с 2024-08
Реализованная прибыль
$810,307
Месяцев в плюсе
23 / 27
Побед (события)
72%
ROI на рынок
2.1%
Средняя ставка
$20,144
Медианный срок
31.0 д
Объём
$34,986,487
Доля 5-мин. крипто
0%
Процент побед, ROI и фокус посчитаны по 999 последним закрытым рынкам вне крипто (с 2026-04-20); прибыль и месяцы за всё время.
Прибыль по месяцам
Фокус
other 397 geopolitics 234 crypto 126 tech 99 sports 61 esports 32
Сделки, пойманные нашей лентой
| Когда | Кошелёк | Сторона | Рынок | Исход | Цена | Размер | Кат. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 ч назад | Parz1vaI | BUY | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 0.90 | $614 | geopolitics |
Открытые позиции (100)
| Рынок | Сторона | Акций | Вход | Сейчас | Стоимость | PnL | Кат. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 35190 | 0.84 | 0.85 | $30,087 | $528 | geopolitics |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 31334 | 0.69 | 0.70 | $22,090 | $454 | politics |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | No | 25067 | 0.69 | 0.78 | $19,553 | $2,246 | esports |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 20647 | 0.89 | 0.89 | $18,273 | −$77 | geopolitics |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 17852 | 0.81 | 0.92 | $16,334 | $1,803 | geopolitics |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 17492 | 0.74 | 0.88 | $15,306 | $2,433 | geopolitics |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 18747 | 0.65 | 0.78 | $14,688 | $2,426 | other |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | No | 17078 | 0.76 | 0.84 | $14,431 | $1,522 | tech |
| Will Alexia Putellas win the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 13883 | 0.91 | 0.93 | $12,973 | $381 | other |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | No | 16714 | 0.78 | 0.76 | $12,619 | −$348 | crypto |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 22116 | 0.38 | 0.51 | $11,202 | $2,756 | esports |
| France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026? | No | 11332 | 0.87 | 0.94 | $10,652 | $787 | other |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? | No | 13944 | 0.66 | 0.75 | $10,458 | $1,256 | other |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 14432 | 0.64 | 0.64 | $9,164 | −$72 | politics |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 17576 | 0.61 | 0.51 | $8,876 | −$1,762 | tech |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 10854 | 0.85 | 0.79 | $8,521 | −$740 | politics |
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026? | No | 9172 | 0.84 | 0.88 | $8,071 | $373 | crypto |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | No | 14843 | 0.37 | 0.51 | $7,496 | $1,933 | esports |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 16856 | 0.60 | 0.40 | $6,801 | −$3,315 | geopolitics |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? | No | 7013 | 0.97 | 0.97 | $6,792 | $3 | other |
| Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 6300 | 0.97 | 0.90 | $5,692 | −$394 | other |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in October? | No | 5806 | 0.96 | 0.98 | $5,679 | $80 | crypto |
| Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31? | No | 5833 | 0.93 | 0.95 | $5,571 | $171 | other |
| Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 5327 | 0.97 | 0.97 | $5,159 | −$33 | other |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 5889 | 0.83 | 0.87 | $5,141 | $259 | geopolitics |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 6685 | 0.73 | 0.72 | $4,820 | −$43 | other |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026? | No | 4982 | 0.92 | 0.92 | $4,558 | −$45 | geopolitics |
| Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher? | Mbappé | 6296 | 0.54 | 0.69 | $4,376 | $985 | other |
| Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? | No | 4454 | 0.79 | 0.86 | $3,853 | $330 | other |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | No | 3997 | 0.79 | 0.92 | $3,657 | $518 | tech |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027? | No | 5377 | 0.64 | 0.56 | $2,984 | −$441 | other |
| Will Michael Olise finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 2948 | 0.95 | 0.96 | $2,842 | $29 | other |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 3419 | 0.62 | 0.77 | $2,631 | $518 | esports |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026? | No | 2531 | 0.90 | 0.99 | $2,507 | $229 | other |
| Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026? | No | 2633 | 0.82 | 0.90 | $2,370 | $200 | other |
| Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 2305 | 0.95 | 0.96 | $2,222 | $23 | other |
| Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 2586 | 0.85 | 0.85 | $2,211 | $3 | other |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 2243 | 0.77 | 0.97 | $2,174 | $446 | crypto |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | No | 2437 | 0.84 | 0.86 | $2,108 | $58 | other |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October? | No | 2839 | 0.77 | 0.67 | $1,888 | −$293 | crypto |
Последняя активность
| Когда | Сторона | Рынок | Исход | Цена | Размер |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 ч назад | BUY | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 0.90 | $2,219 |
| 3 ч назад | BUY | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 0.90 | $450 |
| 3 ч назад | BUY | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 0.90 | $36 |
| 3 ч назад | BUY | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 0.90 | $171 |
| 3 ч назад | BUY | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 0.90 | $45 |
| 3 ч назад | BUY | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 0.72 | $106 |
| 3 ч назад | BUY | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 0.72 | $121 |
| 3 ч назад | BUY | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 0.90 | $54 |
| 3 ч назад | BUY | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 0.90 | $59 |
| 3 ч назад | BUY | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 0.90 | $9 |
| 3 ч назад | BUY | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 0.90 | $9 |
| 3 ч назад | BUY | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 0.90 | $19 |
| 3 ч назад | BUY | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 0.72 | $13 |
| 3 ч назад | BUY | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 0.72 | $1 |
| 3 ч назад | BUY | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 0.72 | $977 |
| 3 ч назад | BUY | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 0.72 | $6 |
| 3 ч назад | BUY | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 0.72 | $15 |
| 3 ч назад | BUY | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 0.72 | $7 |
| 3 ч назад | BUY | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 0.72 | $411 |
| 4 ч назад | BUY | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 0.90 | $202 |
| 4 ч назад | BUY | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 0.90 | $614 |
| 5 ч назад | BUY | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 0.72 | $757 |
| 6 ч назад | BUY | Will Pau Cubarsi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 0.99 | $998 |
| 6 ч назад | BUY | Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 0.85 | $2,208 |
| 6 ч назад | BUY | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 0.90 | $614 |
| 7 ч назад | BUY | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 0.73 | $2,131 |
| 7 ч назад | BUY | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 0.73 | $196 |
| 7 ч назад | BUY | Will Alexia Putellas win the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 0.93 | $4,418 |
| 8 ч назад | BUY | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 0.73 | $110 |
| 15 ч назад | BUY | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 0.72 | $13 |
| 15 ч назад | BUY | Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher? | Mbappé | 0.68 | $715 |
| 20 ч назад | BUY | France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026? | No | 0.78 | $714 |
| 20 ч назад | BUY | France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026? | No | 0.85 | $1,133 |
| 21 ч назад | BUY | France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026? | No | 0.86 | $2,866 |
| 22 ч назад | SELL | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 0.25 | $123 |
| 22 ч назад | SELL | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 0.25 | $1,000 |
| 22 ч назад | SELL | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 0.25 | $514 |
| 22 ч назад | SELL | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 0.25 | $4 |
| 22 ч назад | SELL | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 0.25 | $14 |
| 26 ч назад | BUY | France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026? | No | 0.87 | $2,900 |